The Iranian revolution then and now : indicators of regime instability

Dariush Zahedi

In The Iranian Revolution Then and Now, Dariush Zahedi assesses the Islamic Republic's potential for revolution through an in-depth, theoretically informed, comparative analysis of the present with 1979 pre-Revolutionary Iran. Zahedi discusses how the potential for a revolutionary coup is based on two things: the inherent defects and vulnerabilities in the regime and the coordinated actions of the social groups and individuals opposed to the regime. He also identifies two "ideal-typical" forms of revolutionary change (the regime collapses on its own, or, the regime is overthrown). He concludes that the chances for overthrowing the present regime are moderate.

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  • * 1. Introduction * The Disintegration of the Iranian Revolution * The Research Question: Is Iran Ripe for Another Revolution? * Methodology: Juxtaposing and Comparing * 2. The Problem of Revolution * What Is Revolution? * The Variety of Revolutions * Variability Among Revolutions * The Problem of Revolution Resolved? * An Alternative Approach to Explicating and Projecting Revolutions * 3. The Social Underpinnings of Present-Day and Prerevolutionary Regimes: The Intelligentsia, the Clerics, and the Bazaaris * The Intelligentsia * The Clerics * The Bazaaris * 4. The Social Underpinnings of the Monarchy and the Theocracy: The Business Community, the Middle Class, and the Dispossessed * The Modern Business Community * The Modern Middle Class * The Middle Class and the Islamic Republic * The Dispossessed * The Dispossessed Today * 5. The Oppositional Forces: From Temporary Cohesion to Large-Scale Demoralization and Disorganization * The Oppositional Forces in the Pahlavi Era * The Opposition Today * 6. Comparing the Nature and Leadership Qualities of Prerevolutionary and Postrevolutionary Authoritarian Regimes * A Personalistic Autocracy * An Institutionalized Theocracy * Comparing Iran's Decisionmakers Then and Now: The Strength of Turbans Versus the Crown * The Shah's Prevarications in the Face of Adversity: A Recurrent Pattern * Overcoming Internal Divisions and Crushing Challenges: A Recurrent Clerical Pattern? * The Impact of Khatami's Election: From Open Confrontations and Widening Schisms to Unrestrained and Debilitating Factionalism? * 7. Conclusion: The Problem of Revolution Revisited * References

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書名 The Iranian revolution then and now : indicators of regime instability
著作者等 Zahedi Dariush
出版元 Westview Press
刊行年月 2001
版表示 New ed
ページ数 vi, 224 p.
大きさ 23 cm
ISBN 0813338719
NCID BA53397562
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言語 英語
出版国 アメリカ合衆国