edited by P.F. Wendt ; contributors, J.B. Legler ... [et al.]
[目次]
1. Introduction and Overview.- Urban growth theories.- Land use models.- The Georgia transportation planning land use model.- Employment and population submodel.- Description of the Delphi technique.- Housing and population submodel.- Relationships between land use forecasting.- Summary.- 2. National and Regional Econometric Models.- Macro-econometric models.- Problems in constructing regional econometric models.- The Georgia model.- Testing the Georgia model.- Forecasts and applications of the Georgia model.- An example of impact analysis using the Georgia state model.- Summary.- 3. Growth and Change in the Georgia Regional Economies.- Growth and change in the Georgia economy: restrospect.- Georgia economic growth: 1950-1959.- Georgia economic growth: 1959-1970.- The per capita income gap.- The Georgia regional economies: retrospect.- Geographic areas of analysis.- The Atlanta metropolitan region compared to the remainder of Georgia.- Growth and change in the area planning and development commission areas.- Growth and change in the Georgia economy: prospect.- projected employment growth: 1980.- Some key industry sectors.- Transportation facilities.- Transfer payment income.- Labor supply.- Summary.- 4. A Delphi Approach to Land Use Forecasting.- Forecasting land use.- The Delphi technique.- Designing the Delphi land use study.- Selection of panel areas.- Constructing the questionnaire.- Designing a spatial forecast.- Selection of panelists.- Conducting the study.- The Delphi forecast.- Panel B - hart county.- Attractiveness factors.- Summary and conclusions.- Properties of the Delphi land use methodology.- Prospects for future use.- 5. Land Suitability and Land Use Analysis.- Data.- Data needs.- Data availability.- Future data sources.- Data collection.- The model.- Operation of the model.- Future modifications.- 6. The Interaction of Transportation and Land Use.- Problems.- Theoretical models.- Applied models.- The theoretical model.- Transportation and land use planning.- The data.- The predictive model.- Empirical results.- Conclusions.- 7. Summary and Conclusions.- Estimating population and employment.- Policy-determined constraints and land use allocations.- Introducing alternative transportation plans.- The transportation planning decision process.- Using the transportation decision model.
